Hong Kong U23 0-2 BAE U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 6 Sep 2025

Hong Kong U23
0-2
BAE U23
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
AFC U23 Championship – 2026

Hong Kong U23 vs BAE U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
12.23
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
68%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.33
No
50%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
17%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
5%
+6.7pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.6pp
68%
Away Win
84%
-15.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
39%
+11.5pp
50%
BTTS No
61%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hong Kong U23 v BAE U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong U23 EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY BAE U23 EU Bookmakers 90%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.00/10.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-100% / -79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
257 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 480 · 87%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
– Crosses 22.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hong Kong U23 0-2 BAE U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong U23
0-2
AWAY BAE U23
34% Ball Possession 66%
3 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hong Kong U23 vs BAE U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BAE U23 saw off Hong Kong U23 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had BAE U23 as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hong Kong U23 had 34% of the ball to BAE U23's 66%, shots finished 3-25.

What was the final score of Hong Kong U23 vs BAE U23?

Hong Kong U23 0-2 BAE U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong U23 vs BAE U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an BAE U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong U23 11%, draw 20%, BAE U23 68%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BAE U23) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BAE U23) ✗ Over 2.5
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