Montpellier (K) 1-2 Fleury 91 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleury 91 (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.79/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.44
-33% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
15.8 Crosses 15.3
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
260 Passes 240
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Fleury 91 (K) Fleury 91 (K) FRK1
08.05.2024 Fleury 91 (K) Fleury 91 (K) 2-3 HT 0-2 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
1-2
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
1.87 xG 1.65
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
333 Passes 185
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleury 91 (K) nicked a narrow win over Montpellier (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fleury 91 (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 61% of the ball to Fleury 91 (K)'s 39%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.87 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Montpellier (K) and 1.50 for Fleury 91 (K).

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Montpellier (K) 1-2 Fleury 91 (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fleury 91 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 32%, draw 23%, Fleury 91 (K) 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fleury 91 (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fleury 91 (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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