Institute FC 1-0 Warrenpoint Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 6 Sep 2025

Institute FC
1-0
Warrenpoint Town
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Institute FC vs Warrenpoint Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Institute FC v Warrenpoint Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.63/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.37
-20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.0

Institute FC vs Warrenpoint Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Warrenpoint Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
26.12.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
08.10.2022 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
14.02.2020 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL
26.12.2019 Institute FC Institute FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL
28.09.2019 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-3 HT 1-3 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL
18.11.2015 Institute FC Institute FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KILK
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Warrenpoint Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC squeezed past Warrenpoint Town 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Institute FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Warrenpoint Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Institute FC and 1.50 for Warrenpoint Town.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Warrenpoint Town?

Institute FC 1-0 Warrenpoint Town in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Warrenpoint Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 40%, draw 25%, Warrenpoint Town 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Institute FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Institute FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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