Hamburg vs Mainz 05 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hamburg v Mainz 05 — Team-Based Signals
Hamburg vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Our model can't split Hamburg and Mainz 05 in any meaningful way; small margins will decide it.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Hamburg's last 5 home league games, and Mainz 05 arrive on a real away run — 4 wins from the last 5 in the league.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Hamburg against 1.17 for Mainz 05.
Hamburg vs Mainz 05 Kick-off Time
Hamburg play Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 06/09/2026, kick-off 16:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Hamburg vs Mainz 05 Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Hamburg vs Mainz 05 is an Mainz 05 win at about 40% probability, priced 2.35 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Hamburg 33%, draw 27%, Mainz 05 40%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.