Tottenham Hotspur (K) 2-3 Liverpool (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.1pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
1.10/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.16
-36% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
19.0 Crosses 20.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Liverpool (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.56 xG 0.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
380 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.02.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) İNKPL
12.11.2023 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
15.09.2019 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
2-3
AWAY Liverpool (K)
0.87 xG 1.46
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 6
358 Passes 193
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Liverpool (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool (K) edged past Tottenham Hotspur (K) 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Liverpool (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tottenham Hotspur (K) had 62% of the ball to Liverpool (K)'s 38%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.87 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tottenham Hotspur (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tottenham Hotspur (K) and 0.67 for Liverpool (K).

What was the final score of Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Tottenham Hotspur (K) 2-3 Liverpool (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham Hotspur (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tottenham Hotspur (K) 37%, draw 29%, Liverpool (K) 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tottenham Hotspur (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham Hotspur (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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