Drogheda United 3-2 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 6 Oct 2024

Drogheda United
3-2
Wexford Youths
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Ireland - FAI Cup – 2024

Drogheda United vs Wexford Youths Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.1
Over Pick
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.09
2-3
35%
1.85
4-5
29%
3.07
6+
14%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.82
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.15
X/1
10%
3.68
X/2
9%
12.55
X/X
10%
6.19
2/1 EV
12%
21.85
2/2
6%
9.73
2/X
7%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Drogheda United v Wexford Youths — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 19%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
4.00/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+95% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Drogheda United vs Wexford Youths Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Wexford Youths
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
The Meetings
24.10.2020 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-0 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
21.08.2020 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-3 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İR1
16.08.2019 Drogheda United Drogheda United 6-0 HT 2-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
31.05.2019 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-2 HT 1-2 Drogheda United Drogheda United İR1
29.03.2019 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
27.07.2018 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İR1

Drogheda United 3-2 Wexford Youths — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
3-2
AWAY Wexford Youths
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United squeezed past Wexford Youths 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Drogheda United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Drogheda United had 57% of the ball to Wexford Youths's 43%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Drogheda United and 0.33 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Wexford Youths?

Drogheda United 3-2 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 57%, draw 21%, Wexford Youths 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drogheda United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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