Badalona (K) 1-0 Deportivo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
33%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
57%
-23.4pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.8pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+13.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-23% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.5 Crosses
0.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona (K)
1-0
AWAY Deportivo (K)
2.18 xG 0.16
58% Ball Possession 42%
25 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
324 Passes 214
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
51 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Badalona (K) vs Deportivo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Badalona (K) nicked a narrow win over Deportivo (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Badalona (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Badalona (K) had 58% of the ball to Deportivo (K)'s 42%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 2.18 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Badalona (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Badalona (K) vs Deportivo (K)?

Badalona (K) 1-0 Deportivo (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona (K) vs Deportivo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Badalona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Deportivo (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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