Osnabrück 1-0 Stuttgart II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.25
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.75
X/1
13%
4.36
X/2
10%
8.88
X/X
12%
5.95
2/1
8%
20.6
2/2
6%
5.99
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.89/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.80
+8% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
415 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.4 Crosses 10.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stuttgart II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
18.03.2016 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
03.10.2015 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-1 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
16.05.2015 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
21.11.2014 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
12.04.2014 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-0 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
01.11.2013 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 2-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
1-0
AWAY Stuttgart II
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
230 Passes 411
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Stuttgart II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück squeezed past Stuttgart II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Osnabrück as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Osnabrück had 39% of the ball to Stuttgart II's 61%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Osnabrück and 0.67 for Stuttgart II.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Stuttgart II?

Osnabrück 1-0 Stuttgart II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Stuttgart II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 47%, draw 29%, Stuttgart II 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osnabrück) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
6 Oct 2024
14:30 Hannover 96 II vs Energie Cottbus Analysis →
17:30 Saarbrücken vs Arminia Bielefeld Analysis →