Al Hamriyah 3-2 Al Jazira Al Hamra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hamriyah EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
2.03/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/2.24
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
383 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hamriyah
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 7
11.02.2024 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
24.09.2023 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
06.01.2023 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-5 HT 2-2 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
27.03.2022 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
11.12.2021 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Hamriyah vs Al Jazira Al Hamra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hamriyah edged past Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Hamriyah as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Al Hamra led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Hamriyah and 2.20 for Al Jazira Al Hamra.

What was the final score of Al Hamriyah vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Al Hamriyah 3-2 Al Jazira Al Hamra in the UAE - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hamriyah vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hamriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Hamriyah 49%, draw 23%, Al Jazira Al Hamra 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hamriyah), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hamriyah) ✓ Over 2.5
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