Asante Kotoko 1-0 Accra Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asante Kotoko EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Accra Lions EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.06/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.73
-23% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asante Kotoko
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Accra Lions
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.02.2022 Asante Kotoko Asante Kotoko 3-1 HT 2-1 Accra Lions GANA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asante Kotoko
1-0
AWAY Accra Lions
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asante Kotoko vs Accra Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asante Kotoko edged past Accra Lions 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Asante Kotoko as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Asante Kotoko had 54% of the ball to Accra Lions's 46%, shots finished 22-7.

What was the final score of Asante Kotoko vs Accra Lions?

Asante Kotoko 1-0 Accra Lions in the Gana - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asante Kotoko vs Accra Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asante Kotoko win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Asante Kotoko 47%, draw 28%, Accra Lions 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asante Kotoko), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asante Kotoko) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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