INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 3-2 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
3.06
No
59%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
75%
-15.4pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.2pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
28%
+12.6pp
59%
BTTS No
72%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.56/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/3.51
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -35%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
24.03.2024 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
3-2
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) edged past Parceiro Nagano (K) 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) had 56% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano (K)'s 44%, shots finished 15-6.

What was the final score of INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 3-2 Parceiro Nagano (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 59%, draw 25%, Parceiro Nagano (K) 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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