Guanacasteca 1-0 Perez Zeledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.9pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.4pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.72/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.39
+14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Perez Zeledon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-1 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
09.05.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 4-0 HT 2-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
03.03.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 0-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
09.11.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 0-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
10.09.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-2 HT 0-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
02.04.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-1 HT 0-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
1-0
AWAY Perez Zeledon
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs Perez Zeledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca squeezed past Perez Zeledon 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guanacasteca as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 36% of the ball to Perez Zeledon's 64%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guanacasteca and 0.67 for Perez Zeledon.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Perez Zeledon?

Guanacasteca 1-0 Perez Zeledon in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Perez Zeledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guanacasteca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 43%, draw 32%, Perez Zeledon 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guanacasteca), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guanacasteca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
6 Oct 2024
04:00 San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose Analysis →
05:00 CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines Analysis →