Samorin 1-2 Petrzalka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
29%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
33%
+7.8pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
29%
Away Win
42%
-13.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samorin EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrzalka EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.73/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.75
+31% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +71%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
247 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samorin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Petrzalka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Petrzalka Petrzalka 0-0 HT 0-0 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
20.08.2023 Samorin Samorin 0-7 HT 0-3 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
16.04.2023 Samorin Samorin 0-2 HT 0-1 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
18.09.2022 Petrzalka Petrzalka 1-2 HT 0-1 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
01.05.2022 Samorin Samorin 2-0 HT 0-0 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
20.10.2021 Petrzalka Petrzalka 7-0 HT 2-0 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
POST-MATCH Samorin vs Petrzalka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrzalka edged past Samorin 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Samorin at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Petrzalka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Samorin and 2.83 for Petrzalka.

What was the final score of Samorin vs Petrzalka?

Samorin 1-2 Petrzalka in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samorin vs Petrzalka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samorin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Samorin 41%, draw 30%, Petrzalka 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Samorin), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samorin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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