Al Safa 1-2 Al-Jandal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.3pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.9pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Safa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Jandal EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.50/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.40
+12% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Safa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al-Jandal
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.02.2024 Al Safa Al Safa 0-0 HT 0-0 Al-Jandal Al-Jandal SUUD1
01.09.2023 Al-Jandal Al-Jandal 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Safa
1-2
AWAY Al-Jandal
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Safa vs Al-Jandal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Jandal squeezed past Al Safa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 27%) promised a tight game; Al-Jandal found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Safa had 60% of the ball to Al-Jandal's 40%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al-Jandal led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Safa and 1.00 for Al-Jandal.

What was the final score of Al Safa vs Al-Jandal?

Al Safa 1-2 Al-Jandal in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Safa vs Al-Jandal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Safa 38%, draw 35%, Al-Jandal 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Safa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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