Kepezspor FAŞ 1-3 İskenderunspor A.Ş. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
29%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kepezspor FAŞ EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY İskenderunspor A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 33%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kepezspor FAŞ
1-3
AWAY İskenderunspor A.Ş.
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kepezspor FAŞ vs İskenderunspor A.Ş.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İskenderunspor A.Ş. saw off Kepezspor FAŞ 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kepezspor FAŞ at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kepezspor FAŞ had 56% of the ball to İskenderunspor A.Ş.'s 44%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Kepezspor FAŞ vs İskenderunspor A.Ş.?

Kepezspor FAŞ 1-3 İskenderunspor A.Ş. in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kepezspor FAŞ vs İskenderunspor A.Ş.?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kepezspor FAŞ win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kepezspor FAŞ 46%, draw 25%, İskenderunspor A.Ş. 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kepezspor FAŞ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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