Maroons vs Lugazi Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maroons v Lugazi Municipal — Team-Based Signals
Maroons 1-0 Lugazi Municipal — Actual Match Statistics
Maroons edged past Lugazi Municipal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maroons as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Maroons had 60% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 40%, shots finished 11-7.
What was the final score of Maroons vs Lugazi Municipal?
Maroons 1-0 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maroons vs Lugazi Municipal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maroons win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Maroons 51%, draw 31%, Lugazi Municipal 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maroons), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.