Eastern 2-2 Napier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.17
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
40%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.96
Over Pick
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
32%
4-5
34%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
28%
+11.5pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
40%
Away Win
50%
-10.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.1pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Napier EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Napier
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.11.2023 Napier Napier 0-5 HT 0-1 Eastern Eastern YZLBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern
2-2
AWAY Napier
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastern vs Napier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern and Napier shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Eastern had 55% of the ball to Napier's 45%, shots finished 16-13.

What was the final score of Eastern vs Napier?

Eastern 2-2 Napier in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs Napier?

Before kick-off our model rated an Napier win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eastern 39%, draw 21%, Napier 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Napier) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napier) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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