Arnavutluk vs San Marino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Arnavutluk v San Marino — Team-Based Signals
Arnavutluk vs San Marino Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Arnavutluk 2-1 San Marino — Actual Match Statistics
Arnavutluk edged past San Marino 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arnavutluk as the likeliest winner at 92%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Arnavutluk had 70% of the ball to San Marino's 30%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 2.70 to 0.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arnavutluk's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arnavutluk had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Arnavutluk and 0.00 for San Marino.
Arnavutluk vs San Marino Result & Final Score
Arnavutluk 2 - 1 San Marino in the UEFA Nations League on 06/10/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Arnavutluk vs San Marino Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Arnavutluk win the most likely single outcome at about 92%, with the full match-result split Arnavutluk 92%, draw 3%, San Marino 5%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arnavutluk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.