Persija Jakarta 4-1 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.9pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persija Jakarta EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
1.60/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.58
-5% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
318 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persija Jakarta
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Madura United
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 Passes 312
13.08.2023 Madura United Madura United 2-0 HT 1-0 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
17.09.2022 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 0-0 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
17.03.2022 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 1-3 HT 0-3 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
22.10.2021 Madura United Madura United 2-3 HT 0-1 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
13.12.2019 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 4-0 HT 4-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persija Jakarta
4-1
AWAY Madura United
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Persija Jakarta vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persija Jakarta cruised past Madura United 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Persija Jakarta as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Persija Jakarta had 56% of the ball to Madura United's 44%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Persija Jakarta and 1.40 for Madura United.

What was the final score of Persija Jakarta vs Madura United?

Persija Jakarta 4-1 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persija Jakarta vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persija Jakarta win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Persija Jakarta 55%, draw 23%, Madura United 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persija Jakarta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persija Jakarta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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