Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
41%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.71
Over 2.5
32%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
14%
+13.1pp
32%
Draw
22%
+9.9pp
41%
Away Win
64%
-23.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
55%
+13.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
45%
-13.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 69%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-100% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1-2
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank nicked a narrow win over Welwalo Adigrat Uni 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ethiopia Nigd Bank as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had 38% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 62%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Welwalo Adigrat Uni 27%, draw 32%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
6 Nov 2024
16:00 Dire Dawa Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena Analysis →