Sofapaka vs Police Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sofapaka v Police — Team-Based Signals
Sofapaka vs Police Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Police
KEN2
0-2
HT 0-1
Sofapaka
KEN2
Sofapaka 1-1 Police — Actual Match Statistics
Sofapaka and Police shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Police at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Sofapaka had 46% of the ball to Police's 54%, shots finished 11-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sofapaka had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sofapaka and 0.00 for Police.
What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Police?
Sofapaka 1-1 Police in the Kenya - Premier League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Police?
Before kick-off our model rated an Police win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 29%, draw 27%, Police 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Police), BTTS No went the other way.