Fortaleza CEIF vs La Equidad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza CEIF v La Equidad — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza CEIF vs La Equidad Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Fortaleza CEIF
KOL
Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 La Equidad — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza CEIF edged past La Equidad 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 64% of the ball to La Equidad's 36%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.01 to 0.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fortaleza CEIF's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 0.50 for La Equidad.
What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs La Equidad?
Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs La Equidad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 45%, draw 30%, La Equidad 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.