Mosta 2-2 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.3pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 38%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.94/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.10
-17% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Balzan FC
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Mosta Mosta 0-2 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
10.04.2023 Mosta Mosta 2-3 HT 1-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
13.11.2022 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
29.01.2022 Balzan FC Balzan FC 2-3 HT 2-2 Mosta Mosta MLTP
26.09.2021 Mosta Mosta 2-1 HT 1-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mosta
2-2
AWAY Balzan FC
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta and Balzan FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mosta had 43% of the ball to Balzan FC's 57%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mosta had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Mosta and 1.80 for Balzan FC.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Balzan FC?

Mosta 2-2 Balzan FC in the Malta - Premier League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mosta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mosta 39%, draw 25%, Balzan FC 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mosta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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6 Nov 2024
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