06/11/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
0-0
Simba vs KMC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS No
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
76%
33%
Draw
17%
33%
Away Win
7%
50%
Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS Yes
30%
50%
BTTS No
70%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Simba v KMC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Simba
EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY
KMC
EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-15% /
-15%
2.33/0.31
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.41/1.58
+41%
/
+66%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-5%
/
+14%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
0
Total Shots
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0
0 · 0%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
0 · 0%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.7
Yellow Cards
2.0
Simba vs KMC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Simba
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
KMC
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
24.12.2021
KMC
1-4
Simba
Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
1-4
Simba
Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH
Simba vs KMC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Simba ran out comfortable winners over KMC 4-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Simba made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Simba vs KMC?
Simba 4-0 KMC in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Simba vs KMC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Simba win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Simba 33%, draw 33%, KMC 33%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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