Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 6 Dec 2024

Burnley
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Middlesbrough
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.71
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.91
2-3
46%
1.79
4-5
21%
4.1
6+
4%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.91
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
14%
5.76
X/2
12%
6.57
X/X
18%
4.64
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
18%
4.71
2/X
6%
15.0
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Burnley v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Burnley The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough The Market 37%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.49 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.59
0.95 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Middlesbrough
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.04 xG 1.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
333 Passes 307
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.04.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley İNCL
17.12.2022 Burnley Burnley 3-1 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
08.04.2017 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-0 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
26.12.2016 Burnley Burnley 1-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNP
19.04.2016 Burnley Burnley 1-1 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
09.01.2016 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2 HT 1-1 Burnley Burnley FAK

Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burnley
1 - 1
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.64 xG 1.08
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
398 Passes 317
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Burnley vs Middlesbrough
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Burnley and Middlesbrough couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.

Under the surface, Burnley had 55% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 45%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.64 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Burnley and 0.67 for Middlesbrough.

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Result & Final Score

Burnley 1 - 1 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Burnley 37%, draw 30%, Middlesbrough 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burnley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →