Inter 3-1 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 6 Dec 2024

Inter
3-1 HT 1-0
Parma
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.22
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.14
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.77
2-3 Goals
39%
2.3
4-5 Goals
29%
2.44
6+ Goals
12%
4.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.45
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
31.0
X/1
15%
4.22
X/2
7%
31.0
X/X
7%
12.85
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
6%
21.35
2/X
7%
29.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
78%
-18.1pp
20%
Draw
13%
+6.5pp
20%
Away Win
9%
+11.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
2.24/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.04
+5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
486 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
26.4 Crosses 12.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Parma
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.29 xG 0.81
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
524 Passes 260
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
43 Box Touches 14
38 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2023 Inter Inter 2-1 HT 0-1 Parma Parma İTK
04.03.2021 Parma Parma 1-2 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
31.10.2020 Inter Inter 2-2 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTA
28.06.2020 Parma Parma 1-2 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
26.10.2019 Inter Inter 2-2 HT 1-2 Parma Parma İTA
09.02.2019 Parma Parma 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
3-1
AWAY Parma
1.77 xG 0.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
443 Passes 334
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter vs Parma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter saw off Parma 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Inter had 57% of the ball to Parma's 43%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.77 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Inter and 1.17 for Parma.

What was the final score of Inter vs Parma?

Inter 3-1 Parma in the Italy - Serie A on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Parma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Inter 60%, draw 20%, Parma 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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