Juve Stabia 2-1 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 6 Dec 2024

Juve Stabia
2-1 HT 1-0
Südtirol
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Juve Stabia vs Südtirol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.41
Over 2.5
33%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
6.69
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.6
X/1
15%
4.72
X/2
7%
8.85
X/X
19%
3.54
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
7.89
2/X
6%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.2pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
67%
-0.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
33%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juve Stabia v Südtirol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 26%
-17% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +6%
1.05/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.05
-40% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.5 Crosses 16.7
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Juve Stabia 2-1 Südtirol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
2-1
AWAY Südtirol
1.77 xG 0.55
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
364 Passes 199
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia nicked a narrow win over Südtirol 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 35% / 25%) promised a tight game; Juve Stabia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 61% of the ball to Südtirol's 39%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.77 to 0.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Juve Stabia's control.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Südtirol?

Juve Stabia 2-1 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 39%, draw 35%, Südtirol 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juve Stabia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juve Stabia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →