Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-0 Wolfsburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 6 Dec 2024

Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Wolfsburg (K)
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Wolfsburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
35%
4.34
Away
43%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
29%
2/1
7%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+5.9pp
35%
Draw
20%
+15.1pp
43%
Away Win
64%
-21.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayer Leverkusen (K) v Wolfsburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.05/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.88
+93% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -50%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 496 · 87%
10.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
10.4 Crosses 19.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Wolfsburg (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.47 xG 2.28
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
166 Passes 366
61% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 37
7 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.02.2024 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-0 Wolfsburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1-0
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
1.20 xG 1.25
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
197 Passes 352
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) squeezed past Wolfsburg (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wolfsburg (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen (K) had 38% of the ball to Wolfsburg (K)'s 62%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.20 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-0 Wolfsburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen (K) 22%, draw 35%, Wolfsburg (K) 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →