Sagrada Esperança 0-0 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.51
No
48%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.3
2-3 Goals
49%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.47
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
11.3
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
20.85
X/1
6%
11.75
X/2
23%
3.4
X/X
6%
4.21
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.08
2/X
11%
19.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+9.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-10.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
36%
+15.9pp
48%
BTTS No
64%
-15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagrada Esperança EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagrada Esperança
0-0
AWAY ES Tunis
0.20 xG 0.74
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
211 Passes 342
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
4 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sagrada Esperança vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagrada Esperança and ES Tunis fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was ES Tunis at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sagrada Esperança had 40% of the ball to ES Tunis's 60%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.20 to 0.74.

What was the final score of Sagrada Esperança vs ES Tunis?

Sagrada Esperança 0-0 ES Tunis in the CAF Champions League on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagrada Esperança vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sagrada Esperança 26%, draw 26%, ES Tunis 49%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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