Punjab FC 2-0 Mohammedan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
7%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 34% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.9pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.6pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Mohammedan EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
Crosses 14.1
Yellow Cards 5.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Punjab FC
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Mohammedan
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
22.01.2023 Mohammedan Mohammedan 0-4 HT 0-2 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİND
20.11.2022 Punjab FC Punjab FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Mohammedan Mohammedan HİND
26.04.2022 Mohammedan Mohammedan 2-2 HT 1-1 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİND
10.04.2022 Mohammedan Mohammedan 1-3 HT 1-2 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Punjab FC
2-0
AWAY Mohammedan
0.69 xG 1.62
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 5
199 Passes 368
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 18
5 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Punjab FC vs Mohammedan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Punjab FC saw off Mohammedan 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Punjab FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Punjab FC had 37% of the ball to Mohammedan's 63%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.69 to 1.62 — on chances, Mohammedan could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Punjab FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Punjab FC and 0.75 for Mohammedan.

What was the final score of Punjab FC vs Mohammedan?

Punjab FC 2-0 Mohammedan in the India - Super League on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Punjab FC vs Mohammedan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Punjab FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Punjab FC 45%, draw 32%, Mohammedan 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Punjab FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Punjab FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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