SC Villa 1-1 Lugazi Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 6 Dec 2024

SC Villa
1-1 HT 1-0
Lugazi Municipal
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

SC Villa vs Lugazi Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
69%
-5.7pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.6pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SC Villa v Lugazi Municipal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
3.49/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/0.66
+98% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0

SC Villa 1-1 Lugazi Municipal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
1-1
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs Lugazi Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa and Lugazi Municipal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. SC Villa carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SC Villa had 48% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 52%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs Lugazi Municipal?

SC Villa 1-1 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Lugazi Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 63%, draw 20%, Lugazi Municipal 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SC Villa) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
6 Dec 2024
16:00 Kitara vs Kiboga Young Analysis →