USM Oujda 0-3 Mouloudia Oujda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.84
Draw
40%
2.61
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
28%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-6.6pp
40%
Draw
35%
+4.8pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Mouloudia Oujda EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.88/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.71
-19% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
186 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Oujda
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Mouloudia Oujda
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
03.05.2025 USM Oujda 0-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS2
28.12.2024 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 0-0 USM Oujda FAS2
POST-MATCH USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mouloudia Oujda cruised past USM Oujda 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (26% / 40% / 35%) promised a tight game; Mouloudia Oujda found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for USM Oujda and 0.00 for Mouloudia Oujda.

What was the final score of USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda?

USM Oujda 0-3 Mouloudia Oujda in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split USM Oujda 26%, draw 40%, Mouloudia Oujda 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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