Muang Thong United vs Chonburi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Muang Thong United v Chonburi — Team-Based Signals
Muang Thong United vs Chonburi Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Muang Thong United
TAY
0-1
HT 0-0
Muang Thong United
TAY
1-5
HT 0-2
Chonburi
TAY
1-1
HT 0-1
Muang Thong United
TAY
Muang Thong United 2-3 Chonburi — Actual Match Statistics
Chonburi edged past Muang Thong United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Muang Thong United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Muang Thong United had 57% of the ball to Chonburi's 43%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.79 to 1.53.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Muang Thong United and 1.60 for Chonburi.
What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Chonburi?
Muang Thong United 2-3 Chonburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Chonburi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 46%, draw 28%, Chonburi 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Muang Thong United) went the other way.