Maroons 1-0 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.54
Over 2.5
31%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.7pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.6pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-8.3pp
69%
Under 2.5
61%
+8.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
39%
-8.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maroons EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 46%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.40/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.58
+72% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maroons
1W-1D-0L
AWAY SC Villa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 SC Villa SC Villa 0-2 HT 0-0 Maroons Maroons UGA
24.10.2024 Maroons Maroons 1-1 HT 0-1 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maroons
1-0
AWAY SC Villa
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maroons vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maroons nicked a narrow win over SC Villa 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Maroons made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Maroons had 35% of the ball to SC Villa's 65%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maroons had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Maroons and 0.50 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of Maroons vs SC Villa?

Maroons 1-0 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maroons vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Maroons 32%, draw 34%, SC Villa 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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