Compostela 3-1 Rayo Cantabria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Compostela EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +14%
1.62/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.88
+18% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Compostela
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
07.01.2023 Compostela Compostela 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
POST-MATCH Compostela vs Rayo Cantabria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Compostela beat Rayo Cantabria 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Compostela as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Compostela vs Rayo Cantabria?

Compostela 3-1 Rayo Cantabria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Compostela vs Rayo Cantabria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Compostela win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Compostela 45%, draw 27%, Rayo Cantabria 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Compostela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Compostela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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