07/01/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Compostela vs Rayo Cantabria Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
27%
Draw
27%
29%
Away Win
25%
59%
Under 2.5
57%
41%
Over 2.5
43%
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
56%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Compostela v Rayo Cantabria — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Compostela
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rayo Cantabria
EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% /
+9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+20% /
+14%
1.62/0.69
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.38/0.88
+18%
/
+24%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+46%
/
+35%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
320 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
236 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.6
Yellow Cards
2.1
Compostela vs Rayo Cantabria Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Compostela
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Rayo Cantabria
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
07.01.2023
Compostela
1-0
HT 0-0
Rayo Cantabria
İS4
1-0
HT 0-0
Rayo Cantabria
İS4
POST-MATCH
Compostela vs Rayo Cantabria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Compostela beat Rayo Cantabria 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Compostela as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Compostela vs Rayo Cantabria?
Compostela 3-1 Rayo Cantabria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Compostela vs Rayo Cantabria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Compostela win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Compostela 45%, draw 27%, Rayo Cantabria 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Compostela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Compostela)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
7 Jan 2024