Pena Deportiva 0-1 Terrassa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Terrassa EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
1.38/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.31
+17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pena Deportiva
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Terrassa
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.02.2023 Terrassa Terrassa 0-1 HT 0-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
18.09.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 3-1 HT 2-0 Terrassa Terrassa İS4
08.05.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-0 HT 0-0 Terrassa Terrassa İS4
19.12.2021 Terrassa Terrassa 1-2 HT 1-2 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
POST-MATCH Pena Deportiva vs Terrassa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Terrassa nicked a narrow win over Pena Deportiva 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Terrassa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pena Deportiva had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Pena Deportiva and 0.50 for Terrassa.

What was the final score of Pena Deportiva vs Terrassa?

Pena Deportiva 0-1 Terrassa in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pena Deportiva vs Terrassa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pena Deportiva win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Pena Deportiva 35%, draw 31%, Terrassa 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pena Deportiva), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pena Deportiva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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