Nuova Gioiese 0-3 Vibonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.61
Draw
34%
3.72
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
38%
4-5
18%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
58%
-16.3pp
34%
Draw
24%
+10.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nuova Gioiese The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Vibonese The Market 21%
-82% / -82% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nuova Gioiese
0-3
AWAY Vibonese
20% Ball Possession 80%
3 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 13
POST-MATCH Nuova Gioiese vs Vibonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vibonese ran out comfortable winners over Nuova Gioiese 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Nuova Gioiese at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nuova Gioiese had 20% of the ball to Vibonese's 80%, shots finished 3-17.

What was the final score of Nuova Gioiese vs Vibonese?

Nuova Gioiese 0-3 Vibonese in the Italy - Serie D on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nuova Gioiese vs Vibonese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nuova Gioiese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nuova Gioiese 42%, draw 34%, Vibonese 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nuova Gioiese), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nuova Gioiese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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