Real Madrid (K) 2-1 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.66
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.53
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
56%
-22.4pp
33%
Draw
22%
+11.5pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+10.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.5pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
2-1
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.87 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 7
412 Passes 330
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) edged past Madrid CFF (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 55% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 45%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 1.87 to 0.90.

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 2-1 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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