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Brisbane Roar (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brisbane Roar (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Brisbane Roar (K) squeezed past Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Brisbane Roar (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 56% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 44%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 1.04 to 1.98 — on chances, Wellington Phoenix (K) could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 35%, draw 28%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) went the other way.