Al Thaid 3-1 Masafi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+1.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Masafi EU Bookmakers 51%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.59/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+31% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Thaid
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Masafi
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
18.02.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-2 HT 0-1 Masafi Masafi BAE2
08.10.2022 Masafi Masafi 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
03.04.2022 Masafi Masafi 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
17.12.2021 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-1 HT 0-0 Masafi Masafi BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Thaid
3-1
AWAY Masafi
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Thaid vs Masafi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Thaid got the better of Masafi 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Masafi at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Thaid had 32% of the ball to Masafi's 68%, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Masafi led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Al Thaid and 1.75 for Masafi.

What was the final score of Al Thaid vs Masafi?

Al Thaid 3-1 Masafi in the UAE - 1st Division on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Thaid vs Masafi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Masafi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Thaid 25%, draw 27%, Masafi 48%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Masafi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Masafi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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