Gölcükspor 5-1 Kapaklıspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No Pick
53%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
35%
4-5
23%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gölcükspor The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaklıspor The Market 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Gölcükspor vs Kapaklıspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gölcükspor cruised past Kapaklıspor 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kapaklıspor at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Gölcükspor vs Kapaklıspor?

Gölcükspor 5-1 Kapaklıspor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gölcükspor vs Kapaklıspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kapaklıspor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gölcükspor 27%, draw 22%, Kapaklıspor 51%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kapaklıspor) ✗ BTTS No
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