07/01/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Görelespor vs Doğubayazıt FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
Over
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
43%
4-5
14%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 70% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
37%
Home Win
48%
36%
Draw
30%
27%
Away Win
22%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Görelespor v Doğubayazıt FK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Görelespor
The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Doğubayazıt FK
The Market 25%
-67% /
-67%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-32%
/
-37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
340 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
249 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Görelespor vs Doğubayazıt FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Görelespor and Doğubayazıt FK shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (37% / 36% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Görelespor vs Doğubayazıt FK?
Görelespor 1-1 Doğubayazıt FK in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Görelespor vs Doğubayazıt FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Görelespor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Görelespor 37%, draw 36%, Doğubayazıt FK 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Görelespor), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Görelespor)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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