Nizipspor 1-3 Kilis Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No Pick
54%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
37%
4-5
22%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nizipspor The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilis Belediyespor The Market 24%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+32% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Nizipspor vs Kilis Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilis Belediyespor got the better of Nizipspor 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Nizipspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Nizipspor vs Kilis Belediyespor?

Nizipspor 1-3 Kilis Belediyespor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nizipspor vs Kilis Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nizipspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nizipspor 46%, draw 30%, Kilis Belediyespor 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nizipspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nizipspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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