Urawa Red (K) 3-1 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.15
Over 2.5
39%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
2%
1/X
8%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Urawa Red (K) win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-5.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.6pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
43%
+18.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
57%
-18.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.3pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
429 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red (K)
3-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red (K) got the better of Omiya Ardija (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Urawa Red (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Urawa Red (K) had 60% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 40%, shots finished 22-4.

What was the final score of Urawa Red (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Urawa Red (K) 3-1 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red (K) 66%, draw 20%, Omiya Ardija (K) 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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