07/01/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Isibania vs Coast Stima Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
39%
4-5
22%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Isibania win — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
52%
Home Win
61%
29%
Draw
21%
19%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Isibania v Coast Stima — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Isibania
The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY
Coast Stima
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+20% /
+20%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
392 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
316 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Isibania vs Coast Stima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Isibania squeezed past Coast Stima 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Isibania as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Isibania vs Coast Stima?
Isibania 1-0 Coast Stima in the Kenya - Super League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Isibania vs Coast Stima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Isibania win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Isibania 52%, draw 29%, Coast Stima 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isibania) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Isibania)
✗ BTTS Yes
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