Al Qadsia 1-0 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 7 Jan 2024

Al Qadsia
1-0 HT 1-0
Al Nasar
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Kuwait - Premier League – 2023/2024

Al Qadsia vs Al Nasar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
16%
9.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.26
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
10%
4.11
X/2
10%
8.61
X/X
11%
5.59
2/1
6%
21.3
2/2
9%
6.22
2/X
8%
14.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 10% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Qadsia v Al Nasar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qadsia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.69/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.82
-14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Al Qadsia vs Al Nasar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qadsia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Nasar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
13.02.2023 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 5-1 HT 2-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
02.10.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
25.04.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
10.01.2022 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
21.04.2021 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
POST-MATCH Al Qadsia vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Qadsia nicked a narrow win over Al Nasar 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Qadsia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Qadsia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Qadsia and 0.67 for Al Nasar.

What was the final score of Al Qadsia vs Al Nasar?

Al Qadsia 1-0 Al Nasar in the Kuwait - Premier League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qadsia vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Qadsia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Qadsia 45%, draw 26%, Al Nasar 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Qadsia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Qadsia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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