Chiangmai 2-0 Samut Prakan City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 2nd Division, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangmai EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Samut Prakan City EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.07/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/0.99
-20% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangmai
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Samut Prakan City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.12.2022 Chiangmai Chiangmai 1-1 HT 1-0 Samut Prakan City Samut Prakan City TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangmai
2-0
AWAY Samut Prakan City
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Chiangmai vs Samut Prakan City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangmai saw off Samut Prakan City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Chiangmai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chiangmai had 55% of the ball to Samut Prakan City's 45%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Chiangmai vs Samut Prakan City?

Chiangmai 2-0 Samut Prakan City in the Thailand - 2nd Division on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangmai vs Samut Prakan City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chiangmai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chiangmai 39%, draw 30%, Samut Prakan City 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chiangmai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chiangmai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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