Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 Olympique Beja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Super Cup, 7 Jan 2024

Etoile Du Sahel
0-2 HT 0-1
Olympique Beja
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Tunisia - Super Cup – 2023/2024

Etoile Du Sahel vs Olympique Beja Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.56
6+ Goals
14%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Etoile Du Sahel v Olympique Beja — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympique Beja EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Etoile Du Sahel vs Olympique Beja Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Olympique Beja
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1A
23.08.2023 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 2-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
20.05.2023 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
13.04.2022 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-2 HT 2-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1
22.11.2021 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1B
19.05.2021 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 4-4 HT 2-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1

Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 Olympique Beja — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
0-2
AWAY Olympique Beja
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs Olympique Beja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympique Beja beat Etoile Du Sahel 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Etoile Du Sahel carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Etoile Du Sahel had 58% of the ball to Olympique Beja's 42%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympique Beja led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 1.33 for Olympique Beja.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs Olympique Beja?

Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 Olympique Beja in the Tunisia - Super Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs Olympique Beja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 56%, draw 23%, Olympique Beja 20%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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