Prison Leopards 1-0 ZESCO United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Zambiya - Super League, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.18
Draw
39%
2.94
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
Over
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
43%
4-5
11%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
25%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
42%
-14.6pp
39%
Draw
30%
+9.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prison Leopards The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY ZESCO United The Market 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.09/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.32
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
358 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prison Leopards
0W-1D-1L
AWAY ZESCO United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.03.2022 ZESCO United ZESCO United 1-1 HT 0-0 Prison Leopards ZAM
24.12.2021 Prison Leopards 0-1 HT 0-1 ZESCO United ZESCO United ZAM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Prison Leopards
1-0
AWAY ZESCO United
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Prison Leopards vs ZESCO United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prison Leopards nicked a narrow win over ZESCO United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (27% / 39% / 33%) promised a tight game; Prison Leopards found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Prison Leopards had 41% of the ball to ZESCO United's 59%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, ZESCO United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Prison Leopards and 1.00 for ZESCO United.

What was the final score of Prison Leopards vs ZESCO United?

Prison Leopards 1-0 ZESCO United in the Zambiya - Super League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prison Leopards vs ZESCO United?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Prison Leopards 27%, draw 39%, ZESCO United 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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