Welling United 2-1 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 7 Jan 2025

Welling United
2-1 HT 1-0
Weymouth
📅07/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Welling United vs Weymouth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.34
2-3 Goals
35%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.57
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.34 — our 40% vs market 34.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.6pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Welling United v Weymouth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.27/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.15
-9% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Welling United vs Weymouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Weymouth
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-1 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
18.03.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 2-1 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
26.11.2022 Welling United Welling United 1-2 HT 1-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
01.10.2022 Weymouth Weymouth 3-0 HT 2-0 Welling United Welling United FAK
04.01.2020 Welling United Welling United 1-3 HT 0-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
07.09.2019 Weymouth Weymouth 1-0 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İCON

Welling United 2-1 Weymouth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welling United
2-1
AWAY Weymouth
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welling United squeezed past Weymouth 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Welling United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Welling United had 53% of the ball to Weymouth's 47%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weymouth led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Welling United and 2.00 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Weymouth?

Welling United 2-1 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Welling United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Welling United 41%, draw 30%, Weymouth 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Welling United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Welling United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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